Our Dilemma:

Man is the measure of all things, but not everything--a gulf between pour soi and the en soi-- and an Adlerian philosophy tied to temporal narratives leaves us hostage to a paradox of millenarianism hardwired to misguided civilizational choices where distortions are most likely to thrive. To move away from traditional knowledge systems and patterns of thinking alternatives must be considered given our entanglements in an increasingly more materially complex global society. Our dilemma is both profit and nonprofit enterprises are mired in trophic cascades tangled in an Ariadne thread where our ends seem to untie. In most simplest terms, how to think about and plan for uncertain outcomes and risk events in our global activities and projects is our urgent task.

Our emerging context is a globalized world and over-materialized minds legislating new borders in definitional knowledge, opportunity, profitability, and risk. And with this event is a vortex of conflagration churning out statistical outliers, aggregate impact events, disaggregated data sets---where black swans loom larger. Essentially, this means today our onset is more cognitively incomplete and our ability to predict knowledge moves further away. Knowledge is not objective, determinism is not a rational possibility in the face of a changing context governed by novelty and reality remains, as always, a moving target.

Our singsong has become a nuance of noise set fast in cultural and semantic rift--voices, viewpoints, and scribble swim in a cauldron (Proposition 7 Tractatus) while an intensification of complex systems both natural and man made are locked in a destructive dance. A dance where our deductive understanding obscures more than clarifies-a widening gap between "pour soi and the en soi" . In this environment our momentum for positive outcomes is not guaranteed in advancing global partnerships, successful risk assessment, and human enterprise. Our lever to adjust and navigate within this environment is punctuated by delay, a delay in our ability to correspond our internal realities with external realities.

Steve Jobs- "Our task is to read things not yet in the page."

Our Mission:

Black Swan International assists in the management and assessment of risk avoidance in globally diverse environments. In these environments we are unable to imagine what we cannot personify leaving us only with nimble approaches and strategies through Meta-analysis and improvisation as our bridge to create backstops and clear contingency plans. This is accomplished through the tools used in R.A.P- Risk Avoidance Protocols.

These conceptual protocols are both evaluation and assessment tools used to examine intersecting points of fragility and vulnerability within a scope of self-organized criticality aiming to identify positive and negative exposures. With this focus, the tools used in R.A.P elevate decision making processes, problem analysis, strategy formulation, and metacognition. More broadly, from a global context, most human activities today face new areas of criticality rooted in man made complex systems of operation where causal links are prone to uncertainties relating to both nonlinear and linear properties in diverse settings.

The core sources of risk examined are the following meta-analogies:

Zimbardo's predispositions (FAE)

"Dunning-Kruger effect"- Lake Wobegon

"Shifting Baseline Syndrome"

Idiopathic Fragility

Intercultural Dissonance

Reflexive Convergence

Malthusian Quantitative Trap (Boden Credit Bank-Bodenmark (Sept.18 1923)

London's Millennium Bridge (Engineering Elegance in a 'Wobble')

Balkanizing State Capitalism

Hempel's Ravens

Transference & Synchrony in Motor Mimicry

Dyadic Distortion Displacement

Negative arrhythmic synergies

"Keynesian Animal Spirits" (Veblen's Vision-1898 & 1918)

Shack'lers shackling "Shackle"

Luxottica Luminatus

Goudsmit PCP Cycle-unchained and untamed (LUC)